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Market Insights
November 2024

This basket bites back

You thought it was for shareholder treats—now it's funding debt you didn't price.
Dan Wertman
Dan Wertman

Credit deals and Halloween have at least one thing in common: sometimes, you get tricked. Let me explain.

Last Halloween, I left a bowl of Kit-Kats out for trick-or-treaters. While I fully expected all of the candy to be transferred to trick-or-treater Halloween bags by the end of the night—what I didn’t expect was to see the entire bowl, Kit-Kats and all, in front of another house, who apparently had forgotten to buy their own candy to distribute.

Did I care about the candy? Of course not—I was willing to part with it in the first place. But somehow it feels different when it was “repurposed” by someone else, even if it was going to the same trick-or-treaters.

“𝗔𝘃𝗮𝗶𝗹𝗮𝗯𝗹𝗲 𝗥𝗲𝘀𝘁𝗿𝗶𝗰𝘁𝗲𝗱 𝗣𝗮𝘆𝗺𝗲𝗻𝘁 𝗖𝗮𝗽𝗮𝗰𝗶𝘁𝘆” baskets in debt covenants permit borrowers to incur additional debt, often on a 𝘱𝘢𝘳𝘪 basis with the credit facility, by "repurposing" dividend capacity from the restricted payments covenant. A lender might not have minded parting with cash being distributed to stockholders—but the prospect of that capacity being “repurposed” to incur diluting or priming debt that significantly affects lender recovery: well, that can feel like a trick.

At Noetica, we’ve primarily seen this term relegated to sponsor deals, remaining rare in liquid credit markets: no instances of the term appeared in publicly-filed high yield credit agreements in Q3 ‘24 or Q3 ‘23. However it remains a term to watch—as creep from the private to the liquid market is common.

Message me if you’d like access to the excel with deal data on Available Restricted Payment Capacity debt baskets.

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August 2025

Trend Alert: A New Outside Date Structure in M&A Deals has Entered the Market

Acquisition financing just got more flexible. A new term—the "applicable margin election"—is allowing acquirers to extend deal timelines beyond original outside dates while maintaining favorable lender economics, solving one of M&A's most persistent timing problems.
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July 2025

Trend Alert: First Tariff-based Event of Default Pops Up in a Deal—Is This the New Normal?

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September 2025

Who Brings the Ball, Calls the Shots

JPMorgan hands Warner Bros. a $17.5B bridge loan and suddenly the studio is writing new rules for bondholders.
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November 2025

Private credit is shifting to larger cap deals

CNBC featured Noetica’s Q3 analytics, highlighting how clauses inside credit agreements are signaling investor sentiment and reshaping how markets assess risk.
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